California Gubernatorial Candidates Propose Radical Shifts to Tackle Housing Crisis

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ByDeborah Cole

October 1, 2026

Xavier Becerra and Steve Hilton clashed over housing supply and regulatory caps as institutional investors like Berkshire Hathaway increase their dominance in the residential market.

The California gubernatorial race reached a critical juncture on September 30 as candidates Xavier Becerra and Steve Hilton presented starkly different visions for the state’s housing and infrastructure future. In their only scheduled fall debate, the two men addressed the primary concern of the California taxpayer: the crushing cost of living. The exchange highlighted a fundamental disagreement over whether the solution to the housing crisis lies in expanded government assistance or a radical reduction in bureaucratic overreach.

Xavier Becerra, the current U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services, pledged to at least double homebuilding across the state. His platform focuses on streamlining the permitting process and expanding down-payment assistance programs to help middle-class families enter the market. Becerra also signaled a move to limit Wall Street competition for single-family homes, a policy aimed at protecting individual buyers from being outbid by institutional capital. On the issue of homelessness, Becerra vowed to clear encampments while expanding mental health and addiction services, though he blamed the Trump administration for previously blocking federal funding for local homelessness agencies.

Steve Hilton, a former advisor to David Cameron, offered a counter-proposal centered on fiscal discipline and deregulation. Hilton proposed a hard cap on government fees and regulations, suggesting they should not exceed $50,000 for a new home. In a move to preserve local sovereignty and suburban character, Hilton stated he would stop the construction of high-density apartment buildings in suburban areas. Instead, he proposed the creation of ten entirely new cities to accommodate the state’s growing population. Hilton was sharply critical of the current administration’s record, attacking Becerra for his past praise of Governor Gavin Newsom’s homelessness efforts, which Hilton characterized as insufficient.

While the political debate focused on future policy, the private sector is already adjusting to a volatile economic landscape. Berkshire Hathaway has significantly increased its bet on the American housing market, purchasing an additional $136 million in Lennar Corp stock. This brings Warren Buffett’s conglomerate to an 11% stake, totaling approximately 25.9 million shares. This massive accumulation puts Berkshire in a position to potentially overtake Vanguard Group as the largest shareholder of the nation’s leading homebuilder. However, the market remains under pressure; Lennar stock saw an intraday drop of nearly 1.8% on October 1, following a third-quarter report that showed a 9% decline in new orders.

The broader economic reality for Americans remains defined by high mortgage rates and affordability constraints. With rates consistently reported above 7%, homebuilders like Lennar have been forced to rely on price cuts and financial incentives to maintain sales volume. Consequently, Lennar has lowered its 2026 delivery guidance to between 80,000 and 81,000 homes. This cooling in the construction sector comes as the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) reopens its fiscal 2026 Continuum of Care competition, offering $4 billion nationally to address homelessness. Local agencies in Los Angeles and Pasadena are currently racing to meet application deadlines to secure these federal funds.

As the election approaches, the choice for voters remains a question of how to best unlock the housing market. Whether through Becerra’s managed growth and subsidy programs or Hilton’s deregulatory caps and new-city initiatives, the outcome will dictate the state’s infrastructure and mobility for a generation. For now, the intersection of high interest rates and institutional consolidation continues to shape the reality of where and how Americans live.

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