Atlantic Warming Accelerates Thinning of Northeast Greenland’s Largest Ice Tongue

A research icebreaker deploys an underwater drone near a massive glacier in Northeast Greenland.The research vessel Polarstern deploys instruments to measure water temperatures beneath the 79° North Glacier.The research vessel Polarstern deploys instruments to measure water temperatures beneath the 79° North Glacier.

Researchers from the Alfred Wegener Institute have identified a significant acceleration in the thinning of the 79° North Glacier in Northeast Greenland. The study reveals that warm Atlantic water is penetrating deep into the subglacial cavity, melting the ice from below at an unprecedented rate.

TLDR: A field expedition to Northeast Greenland has confirmed that the 79° North Glacier is thinning rapidly due to an influx of warm Atlantic currents. This discovery highlights a critical vulnerability in the Greenland Ice Sheet, as the melting of this massive ice tongue could significantly contribute to global sea-level rise.

The Northeast Greenland Ice Stream serves as a primary artery for the drainage of the Greenland Ice Sheet, with the 79° North Glacier, or Nioghalvfjerdsfjorden, acting as its largest floating ice tongue. Recent findings from a multi-year field expedition led by the Alfred Wegener Institute (AWI) have revealed that this critical barrier is thinning at a rate far exceeding previous estimates. Data collected from the research vessel Polarstern and specialized land-based sensors indicate that the glacier has lost significant thickness over the past two decades, primarily due to thermal erosion from the ocean.

The expedition focused on the grounding line, the sensitive zone where the glacier transitions from resting on the seabed to floating on the water. Researchers deployed autonomous underwater vehicles and moored instruments to measure the temperature and flow of water beneath the 80-kilometer-long ice tongue. The results showed a persistent inflow of relatively warm Atlantic water into the subglacial cavity. This water, which is several degrees above the freezing point, circulates deep into the cavity and melts the ice from its underside.

Satellite observations had previously hinted at changes in the region, but the field data provided the first direct evidence of the mechanism driving the decay. Between 1998 and 2021, the ice thickness near the grounding line decreased by approximately 160 meters. This thinning is not uniform; the expedition identified specific channels where the warm water is concentrated, creating localized hotspots of melting. As the ice thins, it loses its ability to buttress the inland ice stream, which could lead to an acceleration of ice flow into the North Atlantic.

The 79° North Glacier is one of only two remaining large floating ice tongues in Greenland. Its neighbor, the Zachariae Isstrøm, collapsed in 2012, leading to a tripling of its ice discharge rate. Scientists are concerned that the 79° North Glacier may be approaching a similar tipping point. The stability of the entire Northeast Greenland Ice Stream, which holds enough ice to raise global sea levels by more than one meter, depends heavily on the integrity of these floating tongues.

The expedition utilized advanced submersible technology capable of navigating the treacherous environment beneath hundreds of meters of ice. By mapping the topography of the glacier’s underbelly, the team provided high-resolution imagery of the melting patterns. These maps revealed deep grooves carved into the ice by the turbulent flow of warm water, suggesting that the melting process is more complex than a simple uniform thinning. The data also indicated that the grounding line has retreated inland by several kilometers, further destabilizing the glacier’s structure.

Atmospheric changes also play a role, as rising air temperatures lead to the formation of meltwater lakes on the glacier’s surface. This water can drain through cracks in the ice, reaching the bed and lubricating the glacier’s movement. However, the AWI study emphasizes that the oceanic heat flux is the dominant driver of the current thinning. The interaction between the warming ocean and the ice sheet creates a feedback loop that is difficult to reverse once initiated.

Future research will focus on long-term monitoring of the subglacial cavity and the development of more precise numerical models. The expedition team plans to return to the site to install permanent sensors that can transmit data in real-time. These efforts are essential for refining sea-level rise projections and understanding how the Arctic cryosphere will respond to continued global temperature increases. The findings underscore the urgency of integrating oceanic dynamics into climate assessments to better prepare coastal communities for the coming decades.

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